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Like Placing Dashboard Gauges on Your Portfolio!
Worried about your investments? Should I sell or stay? The key is in knowing
which way the market is trending. Like the warning lights on your car's
dashboard, 'Market Lights' places dashboard-like directional gauges on
your portfolio. When a downtrend begins and our monthly and seasonal trend
lights are glowing a bearish red, it's a warning it may be time to sell. When an
uptrend resumes and the lights turn a bullish green, it may be time to think
about jumping back in again.
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Click the links to the right to view sample reports in Adobe Acrobat (PDF)
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Sample Daily Alert
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Sample Weekly Alert |
After opening a report, increase 'View' mode to at least 400% to optimize
readability.
The 'Weekly Alert' is for the weekend or part-time investor. It covers
the major U.S. stock market indices only - Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500
and Nasdaq.
The 'Daily Alert' is for the active investor. It covers the above plus 23
additional market sectors, including gold, silver, oil, energy, utilities,
bonds, commodities, emerging markets, and more.
Introducing 'Market Lights'
You've seen it for yourself; a strong down-trending stock market can drag your retirement portfolio
down with it. On the other hand, when a falling market begins to head back UP again, you lose even more money by remaining on the sidelines
and not participating in the uptrend. Clearly, the key is to know when the
market is trending UP and when it is trending DOWN.
Millions of Americans saw their retirement portfolios get clobbered in the Great
Crash of 2008. Many investors have seen their stocks and mutual funds drop
substantially, down anywhere from 20-40%, and they're afraid the market could
fall even farther. Doubt and insecurity have them in a quandary. Hopefully,
you're not in the same position. But if you are, you're probably asking
yourself these questions:
- Should I sell now?
- Hang on a little longer?
- Watch CNN for 'hot' stock tips?
Just imagine how helpful it would be to know the actual trend of the market. For
example, is the U.S. stock market heading up or down right now as you read this?
And does that question even mean anything unless you know what time frame you're
talking about? After all, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has risen far
higher since World War II, so can we say that the current trend is up? Sure, but
only if you're hanging on for dear life over a 60-year period. If your
retirement window is only 40 years, it may enrich your heirs but it won't
do you much good.
(continued below ...)
Sign up Today ...
And
start receiving e-mails containing trend updates on 26 market indices and economic sectors, including the Dow Jones Industrial Average,
the Standard & Poor 500, the Nasdaq, the oil sector, gold, silver, China,
energy and utilities. Weekly subscribers receive their updates each Friday
by 8pm NYC time. Daily subscribers receive updates each market
day, also by 8pm NYC time. |
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Cost of Weekly Updates ...
Our weekly service costs just $5 a month... just 17 cents a day... and is
perfect for the casual or part-time investor who wishes to review his or her
retirement portfolio once a week. Retain a year's service in advance and pay
only $40, a savings of 33% off our month-to-month pricing.
Cost of Daily Updates ...
Our daily updates for active investors cost just $20 a month... just 66 cents a day...
and updated each market day at 8:00PM NYC time.
Get a
year's worth of trend alerts in advance and pay only $160, an annual savings of 33%.
Getting Started ...
Within 24 hours of receipt of your payment we will e-mail you the information to access the Subscriber's area
of our web site from which you can download detailed Adobe performance (PDF)
reports on all of our market indices and sectors. Your transaction is protected with encrypted
order processing tools.
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WEEKLY UPDATES
For the casual investor
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DAILY UPDATES
For the active investor
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Yes, I wish to subscribe to your weekly plan. I understand that a
monthly fee of $5 (USD) will be charged to my VISA, MasterCard, Discover, AmEx, E-Card
or my personal PayPal account, and that I can cancel at any time.
I'd like to save 33% and get Market Lights weekly updates for just
$40 for an entire year. I understand that a yearly fee of $40 (USD) will be charged to my VISA, MasterCard, Discover, AmEx, E-Card
or my personal PayPal account, and that I can cancel at any time.
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Yes, I wish to subscribe to your daily plan. I understand that a monthly fee of
$20 (USD) will be charged to my VISA, MasterCard, Discover, AmEx, E-Card
or my personal PayPal account, and that I can cancel at any time.
I'd like to save
33% and get Market Lights daily updates for just $160 for an entire year. I understand that a yearly fee of
$160 (USD) will be charged to my VISA, MasterCard, Discover, AmEx, E-Card
or my personal PayPal account, and that I can cancel at any time.
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('Introducing Market Lights,' continued from above ... )
Meanwhile, certain components of the stock market such as the high-tech Nasdaq index, are still way
down since their peak in 2000. Sure, the Nasdaq recovered somewhat since
then, but it crashed again in 2008.
So what is the real trend of the Nasdaq: up, down or both? On any given day
a particular index or market sector, such as consumer goods, oil,
gold or
China's entire economy, may be in a nice short-term monthly rally, yet still be in a
seasonal multi-month decline. It's enough to drive any sane person crazy!
As human productivity and advances in technology progress, the stock
market will probably keep going up over the extreme long-term, but that may be
longer than you are alive. So the key here is to gauge the time frame within
which you have a fighting chance of growing your portfolio. In other words, you
want to stay in sync with the movement of the market that matches the time frame
within which you are investing. The passive investor who
holds stocks for at least a year would probably only be interested in
the longer-term trend, while a more active investor who typically holds
positions for a month or two would be more interested in the short-term trend.
It all has to do with the time frame within which you're evaluating your
positions. From our point of view, the most important trends are those that are
most useful to the average investor. Specifically, the current short-term
monthly trend and medium-term seasonal trend.
Unfortunately, the average investor has been conditioned by the media and the
financial community to only buy and expect prices to rise. This is called
'buy and hold,' which we at the Institute equate with 'buy and pray'! It may have worked for your parents
and grandparents who held IBM or GE stock for 40 years, but it
won't work very well for you anymore - unless of course, you're willing to hang on for
a few generations.
Understanding the Problem, Discovering a Solution
Today's average investor struggles with issues such as these:
- Is China recovering?
- Is oil trending lower?
- Have stocks bottomed out?
- Has gold started trending up?
- Are commodities heading down?
- Is this the right time to get into bonds?
Thanks to 'Market Lights,' even if you have no prior investing experience, if you
can distinguish a red light from a green light you're all set! That's because
our service provides
trend indicator lights for the U.S. stock market as well as for market sectors like gold,
silver, oil, commodities, bonds, and even aggregate foreign economies like
China, Brazil and Russia.
We provide subscribers with both monthly and seasonal trend updates so you can
see for yourself when the current trend may be changing. For example, let's
suppose both the monthly and seasonal trends for the Chinese stock market have
been up, with continuous green lights on both indicators for a substantial
period. Now, as the seasonal light remains green, the monthly light begins to
flicker red. A short time later, the seasonal light also turns red.
What does this mean? It means that there is a strong probability that the
uptrend may be running out of steam or actually reversing. There are two ways we
can use this information: 1) when both lights are red it is certainly not the
time to be buying or holding Chinese stocks, 2) in fact, it may actually be time
to start 'trading China down.' Of course, this latter option is for the more
adventurous investor.
Nowhere else is such useful information available at such a low cost. Why bother
with stock charts, graphs, moving averages and other technical indicators when
you can simply login to our web site and eyeball the recent and current trends of your
favorite market indices and sectors?
As we just demonstrated above,
'Market Lights' can be used both defensively and offensively. It can
persuade you to exit an emerging downtrend or help you
trade the new trend in the direction it is actually moving. In other
words, it can help you defend your capital in both Up and DOWN markets.
Example #1: The Spring 2008 Nasdaq Rally
In the spring of 2008 there was a potential rally coming in the Nasdaq. By April
15, 2008 'Market Lights' monthly and seasonal trend lights were both flashing
green for the Nasdaq, yet millions of investors were still holding on to their
stocks and mutual funds. This is not unlike approaching an intersection with red
lights and stop signs everywhere, and failing to step on the brakes!
QLD is an exchange traded fund (ETF) that trades like a
stock but returns a profit equal to twice the move in the Nasdaq index. On that
date QLD closed at $70.85 a share. On May 21, 2008 after a nice move up, the
monthly trend light started flashing red for the Nasdaq indicating that the
uptrend might be stalling. Had you exited your position the next day at $84.47
you would have enjoyed a nice profit of 19.2% in only 26 market days, for an
annualized return of 177%.
Example #2: The Summer 2008 Dow Jones Crash
By June 16, 2008 both the monthly and seasonal 'Market Lights' were flashed red
for the 'Dow' as bad financial news pummeled the
markets. It looked like a good time to start thinking about trading the DJIA
down.
DXD is an inverse exchange traded fund (ETF) that returns a 2% profit for
each 1% drop in the DJIA index. On that date it closed at $55.73. On January 6,
2009 when 'Market Lights' monthly trend light turned green, DXD was valued at
$66.46 which included a $16.06 dividend. That's a profit of 19.3% in 141 market
days for an annualized return of 32.7% during the same period most Americans
were getting slaughtered in the market crash.
Learning to Trade with the Prevailing Winds
As researchers we are not licensed to provide you with financial advice, meaning
that we cannot tell you what to buy or sell, nor when to do so. That's your
responsibility, along with your financial advisors. But like the weather vane on
top of a barn or a wind sock at an airport, we can tell you which way the stock
market winds are blowing so you can then decide for yourself.
The bottom line is this: 'Market Lights' will help you invest with the
prevailing market winds instead of against them. |
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